Full transparency

CryptoOráculo Methodology

How we generate crypto predictions with no black boxes and no external AI. Pure mathematics, verifiable data, 100% transparency.

+200

Cryptocurrencies analyzed

12+

Technical indicators

60s

Data refresh

0%

Generative AI (LLMs)

Who is behind the predictions

CryptoOráculo is operated by an independent team with combined expertise in financial engineering, market technical analysis, and software development. We are not an investment fund, we don't sell trading signals, and we have no conflict of interest with any crypto project.

Our mathematical models are auditable: the prediction engine code is documented, formulas are public on this page, and data sources (CoinGecko) are verifiable by anyone.

The algorithm step by step

1. Short-term technical analysis

For daily, weekly and monthly predictions we calculate classical technical analysis indicators over each asset's price history:

  • RSI (14) — relative momentum
  • MACD (12, 26, 9) — moving-average cross
  • Bollinger Bands — volatility
  • SMA 20/50/200 — trend
  • EMA 12/26 — weighted trend
  • ATR — average true range
  • Support / Resistance — key levels
  • Volume — signal confirmation

2. Log-normal model for long-term

For month and year predictions we use a proprietary model based on quantitative finance:

ln P(t) = ln P_0
        + CAGR_log(t)          // tier-based growth
        + halving_cycle(t)      // sine wave
        + momentum * e^(-t/3)   // momentum decay
        + RSI_bias * min(t,12)  // mean reversion
        + seeded_noise(t)       // deterministic

The model incorporates Bitcoin halving cycles (peak 12-18 months post-halving, trough 30-36 months), beta per market-cap tier (BTC, ETH, Top 10, Top 50, etc.) and sqrt(t) volatility expansion for min/max ranges.

3. Why we don't use LLMs or generative AI

Large language models (ChatGPT, Claude, etc.) are brilliant tools but not designed to predict financial time series. They hallucinate numbers, contradict themselves across queries, and aren't deterministic. Our predictions are reproducible: the same input generates the same output every time.

Financial disclaimer

CryptoOráculo is NOT financial advice. The predictions shown are the result of mathematical calculations on historical data, not guarantees about the future. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile assets and you can lose all your invested capital.

Before making any investment decision: (1) do your own research (DYOR), (2) consult a certified financial advisor in your jurisdiction, (3) never invest more than you can afford to lose. The CryptoOráculo team is not responsible for losses arising from the use of this site.

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